Балтийский регион
Baltic Region
ISSN: 2079-8555 (Print)
ISSN: 2310-0524 (Online)
ENG | RUS
Economics
Pages 20-37

The Baltic economic model: some results of the 1990—2015 transformations

DOI:
10.5922/2079-8555-2015-4-2

Abstract

During the last 25 years, the economy of the Baltic States has been developing in the conditions of sovereignty, both de facto and de jure. This period has been sufficient to identify regular patterns in the national economic models. Studies into the nature of the economic development of the Baltic States have a considerable practical and scientific significance. On the one hand, the three Baltic States are a part of the post-Soviet space. The nature, success or failures of their economies contribute to a more accurate assessment of Russia’s development. On the other hand, it is the second decade of the Baltic States’ EU membership, and the countries’ experience is very relevant. The article identifies and analyses key characteristics of the Baltic States’ economic model. The author puts forward a hypothesis on two stages of the economic transformation undergone by the Baltic States. The first stage is characterised by a combination of transformation and modernisation whereas the second - by transformation accompanied by a number of destructive trends in the economy. The current economic model demonstrates limited stability, partly due to deliberately severed economic ties with Russia.


1. Fedotova, V. G. 1997, Modernizacija «drugoj» Evropy [Modernization of the "other" Europe], Moscow, 255 p.
2. White, S. 2014, Evropejskij Sojuz, Vostochnaja Evropa i «imperializm cennostej » [European Union, Eastern Europe and the "imperialism of values"], Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta [Vestnik MGIMO-University], no.4 (37), p.116 - 124.
3. Sokol, Ju. 2015, Rumm H: Argument o sovetskih migrantah v spore o kvotah na Evrokomissiju ne dejstvuet [Rumm H: The argument of Soviet immigrants in the debate about quotas for the European Commission does not act], Eesti Rahvusringhääling, available at: http://rus.err.ee/v/estonia/5c909cfb-3d92-4fa5-822e-8580d742d7bc (accessed 03.06.2015).
4. Sokol, Ju. 2015, Kristina Kallas: ne sleduet putat' bezhencev s immigrantami [Christina Kallas: refugees should not be confused with migrants], Eesti Rahvusringhääling, available at: http://rus.err.ee/v/estonia/6cad0dc5-6e23-4df9-b9fe-3ed443853042 (accessed 05.06.2015).
5. Olson, М. 2012, Vlast' i procvetanie: Pererastaja kommunisticheskie i kapitalisticheskie diktatury [The power and prosperity: outgrowing communist and capitalist dictatorship], Moscow, 201 p.
6. Agafonov, N.Т, Litovka, О.P, Islyaev, R. А. 1998, Gosudarstvennaja strategija regional'nogo razvitija Rossii: smena paradigmy territorial'noj organizacii obshhestva [State Strategy of Regional Development of Russia: the paradigm shift in the territorial organization of society], St. Petersburg, 52 p.
7. Misiunas, R. Taagepera, R. 1983, The Baltic States: Year of dependence 1940-1980, Berkeley.
8. Gareeva, N. E., Shkel, S. N. 2011, Teorija modernizacii i social'no-jekonomicheskie faktory demokratizacii v kontekste politicheskih transformacij na postsovetskom prostranstve [The theory of modernization and socio-economic factors of democratization in the context of political transformations on the post-Soviet space], available at: http://gisap.eu/ru/teoriya-modernizatsii-i-sotsialno-ekonomicheskiefaktory- demokratizatsii-v-kontekste-politicheskikh (accessed 26.04.2015).
9. Mediņa, I. 2015, Gatis Krūmiņš: PSRS Latviju patērēja..., SIA "Mediju nams", available at: http://nra.lv/latvija/138988-gatis-krumins-psrs-latviju-patereja.htm (accessed 26.04.2015).
10. Mezhevich, N. М. 1991, Geopoliticheskoe polozhenie Jestonskoj SSR: mify i real'nost' [The geopolitical position of the Estonian SSR: Myths and Reality]. In: Politicheskaja geografija i sovremennost'. Regional'nye i prikladnye aspekty [Political geography and modernity. Regional and applied aspects], Leningrad.
11. Samonis, V. 1995, Transformacija litovskoj jekonomiki: ot Moskvy k Vil'njusu i ot plana k rynku [The transformation of the Lithuanian economy from Moscow to Vilnius and from plan to market], Warsaw.
12. Grigoryev, L. М. 2005, Konkurencija i sotrudnichestvo: jekonomicheskie perspektivy Vostochnoj Baltiki [Competition and cooperation: economic prospects of Eastern Baltic], Moscow.
13. Grigoryev, L. М., Ivashchenko, А. S. (eds.), 2012, Aktual'nye voprosy mirovoj  jekonomiki: 2010 – 2012 [Topical issues of the world economy: 2010 - 2012], Baltijskij forum [Baltic Forum], Kaliningrad, available at: http://www.balticforum.org/ files_uploads/files/book_2012_grigorjev.pdf (accessed 05.05.2015).
14. Klyamkin, I. М., Shevtsova, L. F. (eds.), 2008, Put' v Evropu [Way in Europe], Moscow.
15. Ral'f-Martin Soje 2009 god: jekonomicheskij rost 5,6% [Ralph Martin Soe 2009: growth of 5.6%], 2013, Delovye vedomosti [Business News], available at: http://dv.ee/Default2.aspx?ArticleID=d329f296-517d-452b-8fef-70a83e1d52cb&open=fou (accessed 14.07.2008).
16. Economist: Latvija smogla dostich' nevozmozhnogo [Economist: Latvia managed to achieve the impossible], 2010, DELFI - Vadošais ziņu portāls Latvijā, available at: http://rus.delfi.lv/news/daily/business/economist-latviya-smogla-dostich-nevozmozhnogo.d?id=30262511 (accessed 01.03.2010).
17. Pylendik, K. 2014, 6 prichin, pochemu jekonomicheskij spad prodolzhitsja [6 reasons why the economic downturn continues], Delovye vedomosti [Business News], available at: http://www.dv.ee/article/2014/6/16/6-prichin-pochemu-jekonomicheskij-spad-ne-zakonchitsja (accessed 16.06.2014).
18. Åslund, A., Dombrovskis, V. 2011, How Latvia Came Through the Financial Crisis, Peterson Institute.
19. Bank: jekonomika JeR v grjadushhem godu vyrastet na 1,8% [Bank: Economy of Estonia in the coming year will increase by 1.8%], 2014, Gazeta «Stolica» [Newspaper "Metropolis"], available at: http://stolitsa.ee/77375 (accessed 25.08.2014).
20. Knyazeva, О. 2013, Chto podpisal prezident: desjat' glavnyh faktov o bjudzhete-2015 [What the president has signed ten key facts about the budget-2015], Gazeta «Biznes&Baltija» [The newspaper "Biznes & Baltija"], available at:http://bb.lv/finansi/item/9160906-chto-podpisal-prezident-desyat-glavnykh-faktovo-byudzhete-2015 (accessed 31.12.2014).
21. Dombrovskis: prognoz prirosta latvijskogo VVP, vozmozhno, pridetsja snizit' [Dombrovskis: Latvia's GDP growth forecast may need to reduce], 2015, Rus.lsm.lv, available at: http://rus.db.lv/ekonomika/makroekonomika/dombrovskisprognoz-prirosta-latvijskogo-vvp-vozmozhno-pridetsja-snizit-65892 (accessed 2.04.2015).
22. V 2015 godu jekonomiku Latvii zhdet stagnacija [In 2015, the Latvian economy is waiting for stagnation], 2014, Gazeta «Biznes&Baltija» [The newspaper "Biznes & Baltija"], available at: http://bb.lv/rinki-i-kompanii/item/9160837-v-2015-godu-ekonomiku-latvii-zhdet-stagnatsiya (accessed 27.12.2014).
23. Evrokomissija: Latvii predstoit bjudzhetnaja konsolidacija v razmere 0,3% ot VVP [European Commission: Latvia should fiscal consolidation of 0.3% of GDP], 2015, LETA, available at: http://rus.db.lv/ekonomika/makroekonomika/ evrokomissija-latvii-predstoit-bjudzhetnaja-konsolidacija-v-razmere-0-3-proc-ot-vvp-66196 (accessed 14.05.2015).
24. Oficial'nyj sajt AO «Rizhskij bal'zam» [ Official site of JSC "Riga Black Balsam"], 2015, available at: http://www.lb.lv/ru/predpriyatie/obshchaya-informatsiya/(accessed 11.05.2015).
25. Kattel' Rajner Vzlet i padenie Baltijskih gosudarstv [Rainer Kattel The Rise and Fall of the Baltic States], 2015, Europeandcis, available at: http://europeandcis.undp.org/data/show/6D3DABEF-F203-1EE9-B76AC2297A6967A (accessed 06.06.2009).
26. Ministr jekonomiki: kosmicheskaja industrija - horoshij biznes dlja Latvii [Economy Minister: space industry - good business for Latvia], 2015, Mix Media Group, available at: http://www.mixnews.lv/ru/economics/news/2015-05-02/175319 (accessed 02.05.2015).
27. Biznes po vyrashhivaniju ulitok v Latvii poterpel krah [Business on cultivation of snails in Latvia crashed], 2015, DELFI, available at: http://www.gorod.lv/novosti/256056-biznes-po-vyraschivaniu-ulitok-v-latvii-poterpel-krah (accessed 29.05.2015).
28. Polanyi, К. 2002, Velikaja transformacija. Politicheskie i jekonomicheskie istoki nashego vremeni [The Great Transformation. Political and Economic Origins of Our Time], St. Petersburg, p. 270.
29. Kudryashov, N., Nechay, A. 2012, Tranzitnyj potencial: sushhnost', faktory realizacii, podhod k ocenke [Transit potential: essence, factors implementation approach to assessing], Zhurnal mezhdunarodnogo prava i mezhdunarodnyh otnoshenij [Journal of International Law and International Relations], no. 3.
30. Bronstein, М. 2007, Latyshi okazalis' mudree nas [Latvians have proved wiser], Biznes & Baltija [Business & Baltics], no. 113 (3236), June 15th.
31. Kozlov, О. 2014, Osobennosti vneshnetorgovyh svjazej stran Baltii i Rossii (1991–2012 gg.) [Features of foreign trade relations of the Baltic States and Russia (1991-2012], Vlast' [Power], no. 3.
32. Chetyrehmesjachnyj gruzooborot portov stran Baltii umen'shilsja na 6,4% [The four turnover of Baltic ports decreased by 6.4%], 2015, Buhgalterskie novosti [Accounting news], available at: http://rup.ee/rus/novosti/ekonomika-i-biznes/chetyrekhmesiachnyi-gruzooborot-portov-stran-baltii-umenshilsia-na-6-4 (accessed 09.06.2015).
33. «Bloomberg»: jeksport stran Baltii v Rossiju umen'shitsja v jetom godu na 18-25% [«Bloomberg»: Baltic States exports to Russia will decrease this year by 18-25%], 2015, Freecity.lv, available at: http://www.freecity.lv/biznes/19629/ (accessed 23.02.2015).
34. Jeksport litovskih produktov v RF sostavljal pochti 2 mlrd. litov [Exports of Lithuanian products in Russia amounted to almost 2 billion. Litas], 2014, RU.DELFI, available at: http://ru.delfi.lt/news/economy/eksport-litovskih-produktov-v-rf-sostavlyal-pochti-2-mlrd-litov.d?id=65501216#ixzz3c6CElsoC (accessed 07.08.2014).
35. Berzin'sh: bez stremitel'nogo razvitija Latviju ozhidaet mrachnoe budushhee [ Berzins: without rapid development of Latvia is waiting for a bleak future], 2015, LETA, available at: http://rus.db.lv/nachalo/politika/berzin-sh-bez-stremitel-no-razvitija-latviju-ozhidaet-mrachnoe-buduschee-66231 (accessed 15.05.2015).
36. Piebalgs: ot idei mosta mezhdu zapadom i vostokom nado otkazat'sja [Piebalgs: the idea of a bridge between East and West must abandon], 2015, RU.DELFI, available at: http://rus.delfi.lv/news/daily/latvia/piebalgs-ot-idei-mosta-mezhdu-zapadom-i-vostokom-nado-otkazatsya.d?id=45839323 (accessed 19.04.2015).
37. Putin, V. V. 2015, Il Corriere della Sera, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/49629 (accessed 06.06.2015).
38. Prokhorov, P. 2015, Rossija vpervye v istorii kupila jelektrichestvo u Finljandii [ Russia for the first time in the history of buys electricity from Finland],the RBC, available at: http://top.rbc.ru/spb_sz/08/06/2015/973655.shtml (accessed 01.06.2015).
39. Turpotok iz Rossii v Jestoniju sokratilsja za god pochti vdvoe [Arrivals from Russia to Estonia decreased by almost half], 2015, Buhgalterskie novosti [Accounting news], available at http://rup.ee/rus/novosti/obshchestvo/turpotok-iz-rossii-vestoniiu-sokratilsia-za-god-pochti-vdvoe (accessed 10.04.2015).
40. Mezhevich, N. M. 2014, Major infrastructure projects and the foreign policy of the Baltic states in 2010—2014, Balt. Reg., no. 1, p. 4–20. DOI: 10.5922/2079-8555-2014-1-1.
41. Jekspert: sredi stran Baltii net absoljutnogo lidera po osvoeniju evrofondov [Expert: the Baltic States there is no absolute leader in the development of EU funds], 2013, BNN-NEWS, available at: http://bnn-news.ru/ekspert-sredi-stran-baltiinet-absolyutnogo-lidera-po-osvoeniyu-evrofondov-84672 (accessed 03.06.2015).
42. Holmgard, R. A. 2013, Estonia, Bulletin on European and CIS Studies EU Budget 2014–2020: Views from across Europe after 7–8 February 2013, Moscow, p. 13.
43. Estonian Government press release ‘Peaminister Ansip osaleb Euroopa Ülemkogu kohtumisel’, 2012, Valitsus.ee, available at: http://valitsus.ee/et/uudised/74044/peaminister-ansip-osaleb-euroopa-%C3%BClemkogu-kohtumisel (accessed 01.06.2015).
44. Argo, I. 2013, Varblane: dlja nas gosudarstvo — klub milliarderov [Varblane: for our state - the club of billionaires], RUS.POSTIMEES.EE, available at: http://rus.postimees.ee/1173604/varblane-dlja-nas-gosudarstvo-klub-milliarderov (accessed 19.03.2013).
45. Otchet o chelovecheskom razvitii Jestonii ukazal na obilie ierarhicheskih lovushek [The Human Development Report of Estonia have the abundance of hierarchical traps], 2015, Buhgalterskie novosti [Accounting news], available at: http://rup.ee/rus/novosti/obshchestvo/otchet-o-chelovecheskom-razvitii-estonii-ukazal-na-obilie-ierarkhicheskikh-lovushek (accessed 29.05.2015).
46. Chtoby zhit' v Tallinne, nuzhno minimum 500 evro v mesjac [To live in Tallinn, you need a minimum of 500 euros per month], 2015, Delovye vedomosti [Business News], available at: http://dv.ee/novosti/2015/04/27/chtoby-zhit-v-tallinne-nuzhno-minimum-500-evro-v-mesjac (accessed 27.04.2015).
47. Sredi stran Baltii samaja vysokaja brutto-zarplata v Jestonii, samaja nizkaja - v Litve [Among the Baltic States the highest gross wages in Estonia, the lowest - in Lithuania], 2015, DELFI.LV, available at: http://www.delfi.lv/biznes/bnews/sredistran-baltii-samaya-vysokaya-brutto-zarplata-v-estonii-samaya-nizkaya-vlitve.d?id=46029481 (accessed 28.05.2015).
48. Gechev, R. 2008, Institucional'nye ramki ustojchivogo razvitija v Vostochnoj Evrope [Institutional framework for sustainable development in Eastern Europe]. In: Oleinik, A., Gaman-Golutvina, O. Administrativnye reformy v kontekste vlastnyh otnoshenij [Administrative reforms in the context of power relations], Moscow.
49. Woodruff, D. М. 2001, Vlast' i procvetanie: pererastanie kommunisticheskih i kapitalisticheskih diktatur [Power and Prosperity: escalating communist and capitalist dictatorships], Konstitucionnoe pravo: Vostochnoevropejskoe obozrenie [Constitutional law: the East Europe review], no. 2 (35), p. 216.
50. Future of Europe, 2012, Special Eurobarometer, Report , no. 379, April, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_379_en.pdf р. 23—25 (accessed 05.06.2015).
Abstract
The article