Балтийский регион
Baltic Region
ISSN: 2079-8555 (Print)
ISSN: 2310-0524 (Online)
ENG | RUS
Energy policy
Pages 39-56

Gas infrastructure development in the countries of East Baltic as a way to increase energy security

DOI:
10.5922/2079-8555-2013-2-5

Abstract

In the context of regional gas infrastructure development this paper considers the issue of energy security of the countries of East Baltic, which depend heavily on a single energy supplier — Russia. In recent years, the countries of the region have announced several LNG terminal construction projects. The European Union will provide political and financial support to only one of these projects. The paper explores the role of gas and energy in the economy of the Eastern Baltic countries. The author concludes that the countries mostly dependent on Russian gas are Lithuania and Latvia. The announced LNG terminal projects are being reviewed in detail. Their necessity is estimated from the perspective of the current and future demand for natural gas, including the terms and conditions of contracts concluded with OAO Gazprom. Different scenarios and prospects for individual LNG terminal projects and associated pipeline infrastructure are evaluated. It is shown that the inability of countries to find a political compromise on this issue and the terms of existing contracts for Russian gas, as well as low domestic demand for gas hamper the implementation of a regional LNG terminal project even in the long term.


1. Grigoriev, L. M. 2005, Konkurencija i sotrudnichestvo: jekonomicheskie perspektivy Vostochnoj Baltiki [Competition and Cooperation: Economic Perspectives Eastern Baltic], Moscow, Izdatel'stvo «Evropa», 68 p.
2. Grigas, A. 2012, The Gas Relationship between the Baltic States and Russia: politics and commercial realities, The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, October, available at: http://www. oxfordenergy. org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/ 2012/ 10/NG_67.pdf (accessed 25 December 2012).
3. Prezident Litvy: Latvija mozhet rasschityvat' na litovskij SPG-terminal [Lithuanian President: Latvia can count on Lithuanian LNG terminal], 2012, REGNUM, 13 June, available at: http://regnum. ru/news/1541130.html (accessed 25 December 2012).
4. Sweden's first LNG terminal should be commissioned in mid-2011 in Brunnsviksholme, 2011, WooEB news, 24 May, available at: http://news. wooeb.com/741075/PreSubmit. aspx (accessed 25 December 2012).
5. V Shvecii budet postroen vtoroj terminal dlja priema SPG [In Sweden, the second terminal will be built to receive LNG], 2012, Information-analytical center «Mineral», 30 November, available at: http://www. mineral. ru/News/50988.html (accessed 25 December 2012).
6. Uchenna Izundu. AGA Gas awards LNG terminal construction contract, 2009, The Oil & Gas Journal, 21 April, available at: http://www. ogj. com/articles/2009/ 04/aga-gas-awards-lng-terminal-construction-contract. html (accessed 25 December 2012).
7. Balti Gaas, available at: http://www. baltigaas. eu/ru/page/view. html?id=3 (accessed 25 December 2012).
8. Proekt terminala dlja szhizhennogo prirodnogo gaza (LNG) v Paldiski poluchil odobrenie Departamenta okruzhajushhej sredy [Terminal project for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Paldiski received approval of the Environmental], 2010, Novostnoj portal «Russkij Portal» [News portal «Russian Portal»], 8 June, available at: http://www. veneportaal.ee/business/06/08061001.htm (accessed 25 December 2012).
9. Filippov, M. 2012, Fond prirody podal v sud na Paldiski [Fund for Nature sued Paldiski], Postimees, 14 November, available at: http://rus. postimees.ee/1039866/fond-prirody-podal-v-sud-na-paldiski/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
10. Kosmynina, Т. 2011, Tallinnskij port i Elering pristupili k proektirovaniju terminala szhizhennogo gaza [Port of Tallinn and Elering started designing LNG terminal], Jestonskoe obshhestvennoe veshhanie (ERR) [Estonian Public Broadcasting (ERR)], 7 December, available at: http://rus. err. ee/economy/237f4bdb-0b66—4fc5-8743-0377169683bc (accessed 25 December 2012).
11. Jeksperty: Terminal szhizhennogo gaza LNG v Talline — samyj luchshij variant dlja Pribaltiki (Jestonija) [Experts: LNG liquefied natural gas terminal in Tallinn — the best option for the Baltic States (Estonia)], 2012, REGNUM, 6 September, available at: http://www. xn--c1adwdmv. xn--p1ai/news/fd-broad/world/economy/ 1568712.html (accessed 25 December 2012).
12. Berseneva, N. 2012, Odobrena planirovka terminala LNG v Muuga [Plan approved LNG terminal in Muuga], Jestonskoe obshhestvennoe veshhanie (ERR) [Estonian Public Broadcasting (ERR)], 3 September, available at: http://rus. err. ee/estonia/ce83cdb6-9341-4e0a-9b83-f2c097d0430f (accessed 25 December 2012).
13. Klochkov, N. 2012, Bezopasnost' goroda ili rabochie mesta? [City Safety or jobs?], Sillamjajeskij Vestnik [Sillamäe Bulletin], 8 March, available at: http://www.vestnik. ee/n10/bezopasnosti-goroda-ili-rabocie-mesta-2 (accessed 25 December 2012).
14. V Sillamjaje planirujut postroit' krupnyj terminal szhizhennogo gaza [In Simikot plan to build a large LNG terminal], 2011, Postimees, 11 November, available at: http://rus. postimees. ee/631174/v-sillamjaje-planirujut-postroit-krupnyjterminal-szhizhennogo-gaza/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
15. Prem'er: Riga — luchshee mesto dlja stroitel'stva terminala SPG [Premier:Riga — best place to build LNG terminal], 2011, Baltic News Network, 27 December, available at: http://bnn-news. ru/premer-riga-luchshee-mesto-dlya-stroitelstvaterminala-spg-43846 (accessed 25 December 2012).
16. Lembergs: terminal SPG nuzhno stroit' v Ventspilse [Lembergs: to build LNG terminal in Ventspils], 2011, DELFI, 19 March, available at: http://biznes.delfi. lv/bnews/lembergs-terminal-spg-nuzhno-stroit-v-ventspilse.d?id=37476331 (accessed 25 December 2012).
17. Davis: terminal SPG dolzhen nahodit'sja v Rige [Davis: LNG terminal should be located in Riga], 2012, Telegraph. lv, 9 January, available at: http://www.telegraf. lv/news/davis-terminal-spg-dolzhen-nahoditysya-v-rige (accessed 25 December 2012).
18. Latvijskie gazoviki hotjat stroit' terminal v Jestonii [Latvian gas companies want to build a terminal in Estonia],2012, REGNUM, 6 July, available at: http://www. regnum. ru/news/1548989.html (accessed 25 December 2012).
19. Finljandija planiruet import SPG [Finland plans to import LNG], 2012, Informacionnyj portal «Gornaja jencilopedija» [Information Portal «Mountain entsilopediya»], 4 April, available at: http://news-mining.ru/news/finlyandiya_ planiruet_import_spg/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
20. Petrova, А. 2012, Savickis: blagodarja lobbirovaniju ES terminal SPG budet postroen v Finljandii [Savickis: thanks to lobbying EU LNG terminal will be built in Finland], The Baltic Course, 8 November, available at: http://www. balticcourse.com/rus/energy/?doc=65649 (accessed 25 December 2012).
21. Balticconnector Executive Summary, 2011, Gasum, February, available at:http://www. gasum. com/gasnetwork/Documents/Balticconnector%20-%20Executive%20Summary%20Report%20-%2010022011.pdf (accessed 25 December 2012).
22. Riykoya, H, Paju, I. 2006, Jestoniju i Finljandiju soedinit gazoprovod [Estonia and Finland will link pipeline], Postimees, 19 July, available at: http://rux.postimees. ee/200706/glavnaja/ekonomika/2532.php (accessed 25 December 2012).
23. Ansip letit v Brjussel' obsuzhdat' novyj bjudzhet ES [Ansip is flying to Brussels to discuss new EU budget], 2012, Postimees, 1 October, available at: http://rus. postimees. ee/991148/ansip-letit-v-brjussel-obsuzhdat-novyj-bjudzhet-es/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
24. Vodo, V., Belikov, D. 2012, Litva ishhet zashhity ot «Gazproma» v Pol'she [Lithuania seeks protection from «Gazprom» in Poland], Kommersant, 13 February, available at: http://www. kommersant. ru/doc-rss/1872228 (accessed 25 December 2012).
25. Lietuvos Dujos, akcionerom kotoroj javljaetsja «Gazprom», vvelo gazokompressornuju stanciju v Janjunaj [Lietuvos Dujos, which is a shareholder of «Gazprom», introduced a gas compressor station in Yanyunay], 2011, Finansovaja gruppa «Cerih» [Financial Group «Zerich»], 1 February, available at: http://www.zerich. ru/news/prime-tass/fr/133186/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
26. Pol'sha i Litva podschitali zatraty na stroitel'stvo gazoprovoda v ES [Poland and Lithuania have estimated the cost of building a gas pipeline to EU], 2012, Lenta.ru, 10 February, available at: http://lenta. ru/news/2012/02/10/link/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
27. Mogut postroit' gazoprovod iz Litvy v Pol'shu [Can build a pipeline from Lithuania to Poland], 2012, DELFI, 10 February, available at: http://biznes. delfi.lv/bnews/mogut-postroit-gazoprovod-iz-litvy-v-polshu.d?id=42122286 (accessed 25 December 2012).
28. Topalov, А. 2012, «Gazprom» otdast jestonskie truby [«Gazprom» will give the Estonian pipe], Gazeta. Ru, 6 June, available at: http://www. gazeta.ru/business/2012/06/06/4615981.shtml (accessed 25 December 2012).
29. Akcionernoe obshhestvo Eesti Gaas prodlilo dolgosrochnyj dogovor o postavkah prirodnogo gaza s rossijskim «Gazpromom» eshhe na 10 let, do 2015 goda [Company Eesti Gaas has extended the long-term contract for the supply of natural gas from the Russian «Gazprom» for another 10 years, until 2015], 2003, Finam, 11 September, available at: http://www. finam. ru/analysis/newsitem0B03A/default. asp (accessed 25 December 2012).
30. «Gazprom» i Litva obsudili perspektivy uregulirovanija spornyh voprosov v jenergetike [«Gazprom» and Lithuania discussed the prospects of resolving disputes in the energy sector], 2012, Gazprom, 20 December, available at:http://gazprom. ru/press/news/2012/december/article152232/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
31. On working meeting between Alexey Miller and Tapio Kuula, 2010, Gazprom, 9 February, available at: http://www. gazprom. com/press/news/2010/ february/article76232/ (accessed 25 December 2012).
32. «Gazprom» snizit cenu na gaz dlja Latvii [«Gazprom» will reduce the price of gas for Latvia], 2010, Kommersant, 18 August, available at: http://www. kommersant.ru/Doc-rss/1489420 (accessed 25 December 2012).
33. Topalov, А. 2010, Pol'sha i «Gazprom» rasserdili Evropu [Poland and «Gazprom» angered Europe], Gazeta. Ru, 1 November, available at: http://www.gazeta. ru/business/2010/11/01/3433948.shtml (accessed 25 December 2012).
34. EU energy trends to 2030 — Update 2009, European Comission, Directorate-General for Energyin collaboration with Climate Action DG and Mobility and Transport DG, available at: http://ec. europa. eu/clima/policies/package/docs/ trends_to_2030_update_2009_en. pdf (accessed 25 December 2012).
35. Kosmachev, К. 2007, Dobele sdelajut kladovoj Evropy [Dobel will pantry Europe], DELFI, 18 January, available at: http://rus. delfi. lv/news/daily/latvia/ dobele-sdelayut-kladovoj-evropy.d?id=16625858 (accessed 25 December 2012).

Abstract
The article